Talk:Battle Arena/@comment-5910983-20130711185358/@comment-4830404-20130711201512

It's totally random, so it won't be the same every time even with the same dragon :<  85% chance can lose, 1% chance can win...

The attacks that you use don't matter (unless it's Ultimate, which is auto-win), and whether it looks like you were "far away" or "close" to winning doesn't matter. They show a slight damage range so that different fights may look different, but no matter what, it is rigged so that if you don't crit, you don't win (and if you crit once you win automatically no matter how little your noncrit attacks do). Whether you crit or not is random depending on the crit chance that the matchup gives you.

The math is on my blog if you are curious. Sections 5 and 6 explain why the illusion doesn't affect the reality.