Board Thread:General Discussion/@comment-26845384-20150820140616/@comment-26909924-20150822211533

Jupo68 wrote:

It looks to be over 94% in 7 tries, but you could increase that by using better dragons (which you should definately do if you have them) and you could get that natural critical earlier. The biggest issue of your theory is that in fact, there is no 94% chances to win in 7 tries. Percentages don't accumulate, which means you have 10% chances to win everytime you try - yes, mathematically you have bigger chances to win, but these are statictics and they're not true. What I mean is that you can spend lot of gold on speeding the arena up and not win ;) Now I'll share with you with what I've learned about the arena:

a) Chances which calculator shows you, sometimes are not true, because game is "cheating" :D As you probably know, rarer dragons are theoretically better. But some rare dragons are rarer than the others. For example, let's take Warrior Princess and Scorpion (both level 10, generally most of my dragons are level 10 and I practically always use level 10 dragons during battles, because I'm too lazy to scroll them, even when I have 10% of winning with all of them). I noticed that Scorpion Dragon is usually better than WP, even when it has smaller chances to win. Seriously o.O WP is rarer, because it's unbreedeable (forgive me If I spelled it wrong), but for me it's almost always worse than Scorpion Dragon. Maybe it's only in my game, so I will be glad to hear about your experiences.

Here I will name few dragons with which I win almost everytime, even when the calculator shows me low chances to win: Scorpion, Messenger, Cactus, Neon, Beastmaster. There are also dragons with which I often fail, although they're more powerful (according to the calculator): Warrior Princess, Atlantis, Tsunami, Gilded Knight (I bet I forgot some of them, but nevermind).

b) I have a rule - I let myself use Ultimate Attack only one time in a single tournament, and I do this only when I have to. And to this day, I've won every tournament dragons :)

c) Some people tell that there are combinations of attacks, which increase your chances of winning. For me, it's not true and I don't believe it). I always use bash attacks - only because they are faster.

d) Sometimes it's worth to use common dragons like Fire, Forest etc. instead of rare dragons. There were lot of situations, when I couldn't beat the opponent with many rare or super rare dragons and when I had went with common one, finally I won (yes, these could be coincidences, but it happened many, many times)

e) I don't spend gold on speeding up the healing spring - when the tournament is over and I have lot of exhausted dragons, I just heal them with normal speed, one by one. Gold is more precious than coins (I never buy gold) ;)

PS. Sorry for my English, that's not my mother language and into the bargain I'm very tired and I write it quickly ;)