Board Thread:General Discussion/@comment-26845384-20150820140616/@comment-26845384-20150820152503

Hmm, I've just looked at the probability of doing from the other side where you don't score a critical. It looks like the theory is wrong (sorry)

To not score a critical is 90% (leaving 10%) chance, In two battles, to not score a critical is 81% (leaving 19%), Three battles, 72.9%. Basically you need to multiply .9 by itself and then multiply by 100 to get the percentage to discover the chance of not scoring a critical. There are only two states (critical or standard) of hits, so to find the critical chance you tkae the non-critical away from 100

It seems you'd have to have 30 battles before your chances of scoring a natural critical reach 95%.