Talk:Battle Arena/@comment-26073525-20150328061732/@comment-26141503-20150328074236

I've never seen a question that digs deep into the system like this, so credits for you for being so observant! Well, I don't really know about the type advantage effect, since there have been a lot of conflicting results when I tested the accuracy in battles. (Regular and tournament ones.) So far, we only have theories on how Team Lava plays with the Arena's system. You can't tell if they changed the math or not.

I'd say that the winning percentage is estimated. I find them quite accurate at some points, but severely wrong at a few others. Saying that the calculator has accurate math would be quite a false conception. That being said, I'd show you some examples:


 * Scarecrow has 10% of winning against Helios 20, epic or any level. Scarecrow is Green/Red/Yellow, none of them would stand against Mythic type, especially when Green is a disadvantage. However, neighbours reported they defeated Helios with, yes, Scarecrow. And first try, that is. Which makes me ponder over the probability of winning even with handicappped dragons. There are other cases like so, and they have proven the inaccuracy of the calculator.


 * Your question about the Astromancer type conflict. So you're saying that, with each disadvantage type, the winning percentage decreases by an exact number? I don't know about that, but I think Astromancer having Zodiac as a disadvantage against Mythic is already a death spot. Although it does have Diamond type to boost it up, the calculator might not count that in. Very confusing, I suppose. Another point to prove that the math is incorrect.


 * One more story: My close neighbour told me when the previous tournament (Brightsteel) ended, that her neighbour defeated Brightsteel with Forest? Forest, being a common dragon, against a Champion type. That sounds very, very impossible. But that might just be me, since every dragon has equal chance at defeating Champion type. Yet, something is very uncanny about how TL messes up with the arena.

Conclusion: At the end of the day, we both are just putting up theories, not facts. I don't think any of us knows about the configurations of Battle Arena, and how it works. It's vaguely alike the Breeding Den, too. I'm sorry if my answer isn't helpful, I'm just trying to show you my view on this, so we can go nerd mode and figure this out! :)