Talk:Breeding Calculator/@comment-202.93.153.6-20130423121032/@comment-90.244.189.206-20130424005954

Breeding is based on a ratio. Think of something like flipping a coin. That has a 50:50 chance of being heads or tails. Flipping twice won't guarantee that you get both heads and tails because each time you flip its a new 50:50 chance. You could flip 100 times and get only heads. It doesn't tend to be that bad but it could be. Rolling a 6 sided dice is supposed to be a 1:6 chance for each number, but you can throw loss of times before rolling a 6. Now with breeding the dragons it's more complicated. "Common", "uncommon", "rare" and "super rare" don't tell you how they are weighted. If there were just 4 dragon egg results possible, one of each level, then the ratio could be 40:30:20:10 (or simplified to 4:3:2:1) in order of common to super rare. But often there are more possible outcomes of different rarities so it makes it harder to work out. Again, this ratio applies each time. It doesn't count down until you have all of them. This is also why some people get a rare on their first go when trying for a common and others can breed countless times and only get a common or uncommon dragon.

So it may end up seeming like the odds are not weighted in your favour, but really is just the same ratio playing out again and again. Swapping dragon pairs won't always help either unless you are swapping to a pair which gives fewer potential outcomes. Like the dawntree dragon - best breeding pair is forest x forest as that can currently only give either another forest or a dawntree. You could breed two pairs e.g. fruitfull x rose as they both have the green colour necessary to get the dawntree. But that pairing could just as easily give a red x green, red x yellow, yellow x green, or green x green. Suddenly the chance of getting the dawntree goes down.

So see if there is a pairing which gives fewer possibilities or just wait it out; you will get what you are after eventually. :-)