Board Thread:General Discussion/@comment-26845384-20150820140616/@comment-26845384-20150823031025

The biggest issue with the theory is that the mathematics behind it all was flawed to begin with - that 94% in 7 tries turned out to be nearer 52%. I got confused as to how to work out the overall probability, and should have realised it was wrong as soon as I saw something go over 100%.

I think your observations are valuable concerning some dragons doing better than the battle arena calculator suggests, and battle experiences are certainly the kind of posts I was hoping this topic would attract.

I am inclined to agree with you concerning the type of attacks used. The blog here suggests that a normal hit will result in only so much damage, regardless of type of attack selected. Bash attack does appear to be quicker than Magic attack, too.

Spending gold on speeding up the Healing Spring is a no-brainer, but just to clarify - don't do it (yes, I know you don't do it, Mrs Midnight ;) ). If a dragon with a good chance fails, then let them go to the head of the healing queue and use another dragon to attack whilst they are 'dazed' or healing. The downtime for the tournament should be plenty of time for your dragons to recover. Gold is too valuable to spend unwisely. Of course, time is valuable too, so if someone is near to completion and near the end of the tournament finishing, they might decide it's worth it, though if the dragon they are thinking of speed healing doesn't have a good chance at that all important critical hit then they would be wasting their gold (but it's still their decision/gold to make/waste).

I suspect that any given dragon may have a nemesis dragon, and whilst such a nemesis dragon is no guarantee of scoring the critical, it could have an increased chance. I'm suspicious that way.

Your English is more than adequate to express yourself and relate your experiences. It is better than some of whom that have English as their native tongue. English is my native tongue, but the previous sentence probably does not possess the correct grammar. It still irritates me, looking at it.